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Representative Luis
V. Gutierrez, facing
camera, and other
House members.
The only answer to
stopping SB 1070 in
Arizona and
spreading across USA
is Immigration
Reform.
Will Obama
spearhead reform?
"Not likely," says
Jon Garrido, CEO and
owner of Hispanic
News. "Obama is
a real
disappointment. We should
support another
Democrat candidate in
2012 unless Obama
fires Napolitano and
appoints a
replacement that
will spearhead
Immigration Reform
through Congress." |
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Most Backers of Arizona Law Support
Humane Immigration Reform
WASHINGTON (By
Frank Sharry, America's Voice) June
2, 2010
― With national polls showing
majority support for Arizona’s harsh
immigration law, you probably think
these voters are hard liners
determined to rid the country of
immigrants and deny a path to legal
status for all of the undocumented
immigrants in the U.S., right?
Wrong.
Here’s a shocker: four out of five
voters who support Arizona’s new
“papers-please” law also support
comprehensive immigration reform
that includes a pathway to
citizenship for the undocumented. On
the flip side, a paltry one in five
support rounding up and deporting
everyone here illegally.
In a bipartisan survey sponsored by
America’s Voice Education Fund and
conducted by Lake Research Partners
and Public Opinion Strategies of 800
registered voters nationwide, with
an oversample of 300 Latino
registered voters, we sought to
understand the motivations and
sentiments underlying the top line
support for Arizona’s tough
immigration law. Here is what we
found:
Three out of five voters nationwide
do indeed support the Arizona law.
Not surprisingly, a majority of
Latino voters oppose the law.
At the same time, four out of five
of the voters who support the
Arizona law also support
comprehensive immigration reform
with a path to legal status for
undocumented immigrants. Only one
out of five support deportation as
the preferred policy option when
asked what to do about the 11
million undocumented immigrants in
the country.
In addition, strong majorities
believe that illegal immigration is
a national problem, prefer
comprehensive reform to
Arizona-style laws in their state,
and want the problem of illegal
immigration acted on now.
Here are the numbers. Like other
polls, our latest shows that 60% of
voters support the Arizona law
nationwide, while 23% oppose it. No
news there. But consider this
finding: Fully 78% of all voters
supported comprehensive immigration
reform. Moreover, a whopping 84% of
those who supported the Arizona law
also supported comprehensive
immigration reform.
This bears repeating:
More than 4 out of 5 voters who
support the Arizona law support
comprehensive reform with a path to
citizenship. And 67% of them
strongly support comprehensive
immigration reform.
How can voters enthusiastically
support an Arizona law aimed at
expelling undocumented immigrants
and even more enthusiastically
support comprehensive immigration
reform that brings undocumented
immigrants onto a path to
citizenship? What underpins these
seemingly irreconcilable points of
view?
At the core, voters’ support was
rooted in frustration with lack of
action at the federal level. When we
asked voters why they supported
Arizona’s law, the number one
answer– by a whopping 52% – was that
voters believed the federal
government had failed to solve the
problem. Only 28% said it was
because they thought the law would
reduce illegal immigration, and only
12% supported it because they
thought it would reduce crime.
Furthermore, by a margin of 53% to
18% voters prefer a comprehensive
national solution to a version of
Arizona’s law in their own state.
This is consistent with the finding
that voters believe immigration is a
national problem appropriately dealt
with at a federal level (56%) rather
than handled by individual states
(22%).
The passage of the Arizona law has
not lessened these voters’ appetite
for immediate federal action. Three
quarters of voters (76%) want action
taken now, as opposed to waiting for
action, and two thirds (67%)
strongly desire action now.
Voters were asked to choose between
three policy options: deporting
immigrants in the U.S. illegally;
having them stay only as temporary
workers; or requiring them to
undergo registration with the
government, background checks,
payment of taxes, learning English,
and going to the back of the
citizenship line. The results show
22% chose deportation, 8% chose the
temporary worker solution, and the
third option, the path to legal
status, was by far the most popular
at 64%.
Finally, we found that comprehensive
reform unites rather than divides
Americans, with 77% of Latinos in
favor, roughly the same proportion
as the electorate as a whole. In
fact, comprehensive immigration
reform is more popular overall than
the Arizona law with every political
and demographic group of voters,
except for southern Republicans who
are equally supportive of both.
Is our poll an outlier? Not at all.
Our findings, especially with regard
to support for a path to legal
status for those in the U.S.
illegally, are consistent with what
other in-depth polls found. For
example, an AP-GfK-Univision poll
conducted in early May found that
59% of all voters, and 86% of
Hispanic voters, favor “a legal way
for illegal immigrants already in
the United States to become U.S.
citizens.” A CBS/New York Times poll
from late April/early May found that
64% of voters favor agree that
“illegal immigrants who are
currently working in the U.S… should
be allowed to stay in their jobs and
to eventually apply for U.S.
citizenship, or they should be
allowed to stay in their jobs only
as guest workers.” A late May NBC
poll found that 65% of voters
nationwide support “allowing
undocumented immigrants who are
already in the country to pay a
fine, learn English, and go back to
the line for the opportunity to
become American citizens.”
Actually, these results are
consistent with polling conducted
over the years. In the words of
Markos Moulitsas, support for
comprehensive immigration reform
with a path to citizenship has been
“gaudy” for some time. What may
surprise many, however, is that
voters can simultaneously support
the Arizona law and support
comprehensive immigration reform
even more intensely.
So, to recap, voters – frustrated
with federal government inaction—
much prefer “doing something” to
“doing nothing.” They increasingly
want the problem of illegal
immigration addressed now. They
understand Arizona but want
comprehensive immigration reform.
Few want to simply round up and
deport all immigrants in the U.S
illegally.
Politically, this means that the
conventional wisdom about how to
interpret majority support for the
Arizona law is, as usual, wrong. It
means the clucking over at Fox News
and chest-thumping by Arizona’s
Republican leaders is misplaced. It
means that voters want their leaders
to recognize the frustration with
illegal immigration, to step up at
the national level and to replace a
broken and chaotic system with a
legal and orderly one now.
Instead of ducking it, Democrats
should lean hard into the
immigration issue, knowing that the
problem-solving and pragmatism
embedded in their support for
comprehensive reform connects them
with the broad majority of Americans
who are hungry for solutions on this
complex issue. It means Republicans
who pander to an angry
anti-immigrant base will not only
continue alienating Latino voters,
but will have a very difficult time
expanding their support beyond that
base.
But won’t a battle over immigration
reform mobilize the right, renew the
“amnesty” attack, and turn these
initial polls around? No. Recent
polling by Hart Research Associates
shows that comprehensive immigration
reform holds up under the toughest
attacks on some of the toughest
terrain. And consistent with the
findings regarding Arizona support
trumped by support for comprehensive
immigration reform, following a
simulated legislative battle over
immigration Democrats who support it
actually improve their overall
standing with voters.
If only the meaning of the
nationwide reaction to Arizona’s
tough new law broke through to more
in the political class. At least
Chris Mathews of MSNBC’s Hardball
seems to get it. Watch the video in
which he concludes that voters want
solutions now and yet much prefer
comprehensive reform with a path to
legal status. He concludes:
"...So why is it so hard to do what
the American people ― most of us ―
so plainly want done?"
An excellent question. If anything,
support for the Arizona law proves
that the American people are growing
increasingly impatient with
Washington’s ineptitude on
immigration.
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