WASHINGTON & SANTA FE, NM (By Hope
Yen, AP) March 24, 2011 — In a surprising show of growth, Hispanics
accounted for more than half of the U.S. population increase over the last
decade, exceeding estimates in most states.
Pulled by
migration to the Sun Belt, America's population center edged westward on a
historic path to leave the Midwest.
The Census Bureau today will release its first set of national-level findings
from the 2010 count on race and migration, detailing a decade in which rapid
minority growth, aging whites and increased suburbanization were the predominant
story lines.
Geographers
estimate that the nation's population center will move southwest about 30 miles
and be placed in or near the village of Plato in Texas County, Mo.
"There is excitement," said Brad Gentry, 48, of Houston, Mo., who publishes the
weekly paper in Texas County, noting the U.S. population center typically
carries symbolic meaning as the nation's heartland. "It is putting a spotlight
on a corner of the world that doesn't get much attention. Most residents are
proud of our region and like the idea that others will learn our story through
this recognition."
Population growth slowest since 1940, census shows racial and ethnic minorities
are expected to make up an unprecedented 90 percent of the total U.S. growth
since 2000, due to immigration and higher birth rates for Hispanics.
Currently
the fastest growing group, Hispanics are on track to exceed 50 million, or
roughly 1 in 6 Americans; among U.S. children, Hispanics are now roughly 1 in 4.
Based on a Pew Hispanic Center analysis, the 2010 count of Hispanics was on
track to be 900,000 higher than expected as their ranks surpassed census
estimates in roughly 40 states.
Many of
their biggest jumps were in the South, including Alabama, Louisiana, North
Carolina and Louisiana, where immigrants made large inroads over the last
decade.
'Transformational decade'
Asians for
the first time had a larger numeric gain than African-Americans, who remained
the second largest minority group at roughly 37 million.
Based on the
2010 census results released by state so far, multiracial Americans were on
track to increase by more than 25 percent, to about roughly 8.7 million.
The number of non-Hispanic whites, whose median age is now 41, edged up slightly
to 197 million.
Declining
birth rates meant their share of the total U.S. population dropped over the last
decade from 69 percent to roughly 64 percent.
"This really is a transformational decade for the nation," said William H. Frey,
a demographer at Brookings Institution who has analyzed most of the 2010 data.
"The 2010 census shows vividly how these new minorities are both leading growth
in the nation's most dynamic regions and stemming decline in others."
"They will form the bulk of our labor-force growth in the next decade as they
continue to disperse into larger parts of the country," he said.
The final figures come as states in the coming months engage in the contentious
process of redrawing political districts based on population and racial makeup,
with changes that analysts believe will result in more Hispanic-majority
districts.
The population changes will result in a shift of 12 House seats and electoral
votes affecting 18 states beginning in the 2012 elections. Most of the states
picking up seats, which include Texas and Florida, are Republican-leaning, even
as most of their growth is now being driven largely by Democrat-leaning
Hispanics.
Among other findings:
• In at least 10 states, the share of children who are minorities has
already passed 50 percent, up from five states in 2000. They include
Mississippi, Georgia, Maryland, Florida, Arizona, Nevada, Texas, California, New
Mexico and Hawaii.
• Over
the last decade, Hispanic population growth was most rapid in the South, where
many states have seen their Hispanic populations double since 2000. For the
first time, Hispanic population growth outpaced that of blacks and whites in the
region, changing the South's traditional "black-white" image.
• More
than half of the cities with the largest African-American concentrations showed
black population declines in the last decade, including Chicago and Detroit. In
contrast, the suburbs of growing southern metro areas like Atlanta, Dallas and
Houston saw some of their highest gains.
The Census Bureau calculates the mean U.S. population center every 10 years
based on its national head count.
The center
represents the middle point of the nation's population distribution — the
geographic point at which the country would balance if each of its 308.7 million
residents weighed the same.
Plato, with a population of 109, is roughly 30 miles southwest of the present
mean center in Phelps County, Mo. Based on current U.S. growth, which is
occurring mostly in the South and West, the center of population is expected to
cross into Arkansas or Oklahoma by midcentury.
The last time the U.S. center fell outside the Midwest was 1850, in the eastern
territory now known as West Virginia.
Its later
move to the Midwest bolstered the region as the nation's cultural heartland in
the 20th century, central to U.S. farming and Rust Belt manufacturing sites.